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Asia Cup 2025: Pakistan’s Final Qualification Scenario After Win Against Sri Lanka

Pakistan Stay Alive in Asia Cup 2025 With Crucial Win Over Sri Lanka 🏏🇵🇰

Pakistan kept their Asia Cup 2025 campaign alive with a much-needed five-wicket victory against Sri Lanka in Abu Dhabi. The win not only added two valuable points but also opened up several qualification possibilities for the grand final.


Current Standings

With this result, Pakistan moved up to second place in the Super Four table, just behind India on net run rate.

  • India: 2 points (better NRR)
  • Pakistan: 2 points (slightly ahead of Bangladesh)
  • Bangladesh: 2 points
  • Sri Lanka: 0 points (two straight losses, bottom of the table)

Pakistan’s Qualification Path

For Pakistan, the equation is straightforward:

  • Their next game against Bangladesh on Thursday will be the decider.
  • If India defeat Bangladesh in Wednesday’s clash, then the Pakistan-Bangladesh game turns into a virtual semi-final — with the winner advancing to the title match.

If Bangladesh upset India, the scenario becomes more complicated:

  • Pakistan would still need to beat Bangladesh.
  • Qualification could then come down to net run rate, as three teams may finish level on points.

Sri Lanka’s Slim Chances

Sri Lanka’s hopes are now hanging by a thread. To stay alive, they must:

  1. Beat India in their last Super Four match.
  2. Hope Bangladesh defeat both Pakistan and India.
  3. Rely on a massive improvement in net run rate, which currently works against them.

What Lies Ahead

Pakistan’s fate, however, remains firmly in their own hands. A win against Bangladesh would almost certainly seal their place in the Asia Cup final, setting up a potential blockbuster clash with arch-rivals India for the crown.

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